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Seven Countries Study
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Seven Countries Study : ウィキペディア英語版
Seven Countries Study
The Seven Countries Study is an epidemiological longitudinal study directed by Ancel Keys at what is today the University of Minnesota Laboratory of Physiological Hygiene & Exercise Science (LPHES). Begun in 1956 with a yearly grant of US$200,000 from the U.S. Public Health Service, the study was first published in 1970 and then followed up on its subjects every five years thereafter.〔Taubes, p. 31.〕
As the world's first〔Teicholz, p. 36.〕 multicountry epidemiological study, it systematically examined the relationships between lifestyle, diet, coronary heart disease and stroke in different populations from different regions of the world. It directed attention to the causes of coronary heart disease and stroke, but also showed that an individual’s risk can be changed.
As of 2015, heated scientific debate continues. Project officer Henry Blackburn wrote in 1975, "Two strikingly polar attitudes persist on this subject, with much talk from each and little listening between."〔Gary Taubes quotes Blackburn in ''Good Calories, Bad Calories'' p. 22, from: Blackburn, Henry, MD. (Contrasting Professional Views on Atherosclerosis and Coronary Disease ). N Engl J Med 1975; 292:105-107 January 9, 1975 doi:10.1056/NEJM197501092920214〕 Describing online comments on his review of a book about the Atkins diet, T. Colin Campbell wrote in 2014 that "...an irrationality...infuses both sides of this debate (better characterized as a shouting match)."
== History ==
In the 1940s, a University of Minnesota researcher, Ancel Keys, postulated that the apparent epidemic of heart attacks in middle-aged American men was related to their mode of life and possibly modifiable physical characteristics. He first explored this idea in a group of Minnesota business and professional men (executives aged 45 to 55) that he recruited into a prospective study in 1947, the first of many cohort studies eventually mounted internationally. The U.S. Public Health Service agreed to fund the study (and then set up and proceeded to fund the Framingham Heart Study on a larger scale). The Minnesota men were followed through 1981 and the first major report appeared in 1963 after the fifteen-year follow-up study.〔Keys A, Taylor HL, Blackburn H, Brozek J, Anderson JT, Simonson E., "Coronary Heart Disease among Minnesota Business and Professional Men Followed Fifteen Years", ''Circulation'' 28:381-95 (Sept 1963).〕
The study contributed much to survey methods and confirmed the results of larger studies that reported earlier on the predictive value for heart attack of several characteristics measured in health, the now-traditional risk factors of blood pressure and blood cholesterol level and cigarette smoking. Keys traveled widely with his wife Margaret who tested people's serum cholesterol. They sent their samples back to Minnesota for analysis. In 1952, Keys's hypothesis that coronary heart disease could be related to diet was first published in ''Voeding'' in The Netherlands. Keys's work in post-wartime Naples led him to seek organization and funding for studies of different populations, as did his subsequent work in Uganda; Cape Town, South Africa; Sardinia; Bologna; and Ilomantsi, Finland; and with Japanese men living in Hawaii and in Japan. He decided to concentrate on men living in villages, rather than those in cities where the population moved around frequently.〔
In the mid-1950s, with improved methods and design, Keys recruited collaborating researchers in seven countries to mount the first cross-cultural comparison of heart attack risk in populations of men engaged in traditional occupations in cultures contrasting in diet, especially in the proportion of fat calories of different composition, the Seven Countries Study still under observation today.
The Seven Countries Study was formally started in fall 1958 in Yugoslavia. In total, 12,763 males, 40–59 years of age, were enrolled as 16 cohorts, in seven countries, in four regions of the world (United States, Northern Europe, Southern Europe, Japan). One cohort is in the United States, two cohorts in Finland, one in the Netherlands, three in Italy, five in Yugoslavia (two in Croatia, and three in Serbia), two in Greece, and two in Japan. The entry examinations were performed between 1958 and 1964 with an average participation rate of 90%, lowest in the USA, with 75% and highest in one of the Japanese cohorts, with 100%.〔Ancel Keys (ed), ''Seven Countries: A multivariate analysis of death and coronary heart disease'', 1980. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press. ISBN 0-674-80237-3.〕 The Seven Countries Study has continued for more than 50 years.

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